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08/16/2012

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Louis Liu's Highest Rated Comments Web page http://www.jvpja.info/ Fresh faces: GK , D , D , D , M Yherland McDonald, F . ヘレンカミンスキー ラフィア 帽子 Fresh faces: GK , D , D , D , M Yherland McDonald, F . ヘレンカミンスキー ニットバッグ Fresh faces: GK , D , D , D , M Yherland McDonald, F . ヘレンカミンスキー 帽子 本物 4

Bill, Yahoo says LULU has ten.7 billion capitalization and capitalization/annul sales ratio of 9. I admire you for your detailed analysis, but we certainly think differently. Remember the craze for UGG? Now all the "analysts" are trashing UGG, and DECK is traded at a massive discount. The market, the herd, so to speak, as well as the consumers, are loving LULU the exact same way it loved DECK and UGG when DECK was traded above $110. The identical factor that occurred to DECK will happen to LULU. It truly is just a matter of when. You realize what happened to DECK far better than I do. I have bought fairly some Jan 2014 LEAP call choices on DECK, specifically when everyone is betting against DECK. Obviously, I'm http://www.yhnfa.info/ not carrying out it for the sake of going against the herd, but as a result of ヘレンカミンスキー サンバイザー I understand that DECK is just not going away and is known as a strong provider. I went to a LULU shop yesterday. I cannot think that 200 or so of such shops run by mortals are worthy (OK, when you are appropriate) $8 billion which is $40 million a store. What do they sell? salvation of souls? I will http://www.hzlza.info/ acquire a retailer for $40 million only if it delivers $6 million NET Following TAX PROFIT each year, not $6 million or so annual sales. I do not believe that any retailer firm is worthy even 5 instances of price/sales. Just use your widespread sense, Bill. Suppose I sell you a shop. Its annual sales is only $1 million now. WIll you spend me even $5 million? It is going to http://www.xejyl.info/ take you 5 years to recover your investment, assuming you sell the $5 million of widget without http://www.clkgl.info/ any price or expenses. LULU, just like any other retailers, has a margin of much less than 100%. And in the end of day, with competition and all the things else, LULU's margin will erode.]Of course I can inform you to expect sales to raise 50% every year and for those who believe that and COUNT ON THAT and Pay FOR THAT, then I will believe you're pretty naive. Why? The growth rate the herd inside the marketplace is counting on as if the analysts all had crystal balls, will not be sufficient for any rational business owner to write a check for. That's why I'm not going to buy LULU shares, since it is very most likely for me to lose 50% of my capital but to achieve a 50% here is so much less most likely. But with put alternatives my risks are limited towards the premiums I spend, but I can come out of it with 500% gains. So wish me really good luck! I don't care just how much folks adore LULU's clothing. At the end in the day, it's going to come to the cruel reality. As to Apple, I proclaim total ignorance. I am not intelligent sufficient to kind any intelligent opinion about its future.

Oct 12 08:28 PMDECK revenue enhanced 13.1% yearoveryear to $174.1 million in the ヘレンカミンスキー サンバイザー Fresh faces: GK , D , D , D , M Yherland McDonald, F . ヘレンカミンスキー ラフィア バッグ finish with the ヘレンカミンスキー サンバイザー 人気 second quarter. You decide to purchase http://www.vzjrh.info/ a strong corporation ヘレンカミンスキー ラフィア (no debts, considerable insider purchases of shares, double digit revenue development, household brand, excellent ヘレンカミンスキー ラフィア 帽子 merchandise) when its shares are traded low, not high, and yes, correct, when all of the analysts are bashing the provider.

Oct 12 07:53 PMBill, you certainly have done your home work but I am afraid that you are so into the weeds and could have missed the huge image: (1) the price/sales ratio: how could a $1 billion revenue apparel retailer command a $10 billion capitalization? (2) the boomandbust spares no one in this online business. I will not be shocked if this point goes up to $100 per share but I will not be surprised either if it gets down to $30. There can be only countless consumers (wealthy people) who can invest $98 for any pair of yoga pants. You can find only lots of retailers LULU can open. At this time ヘレンカミンスキー サンバイザー mita the stock is priced as if such expansion has been effectively executed. It is actually ヘレンカミンスキー ニット帽 almost like throughout the world wide web bubble era, when men and women discard the basic analysis and fell in adore with some cool sexy companies. I am going to buy some place selections for the very first time in my life, and it would be a Jan 2014 put solution on LULU.

Oct ten ten:21 PMUnderstood, Bill. People are following the herd. I feel the risk/reward ratio is bad for the shorts at this point. If DECK misses once again, the shares can visit $25, at which point of time I'll purchase loads of 2 year call alternatives for causes ヘレンカミンスキー サンバイザー 人気 I stated in my comments above. Bill, I constantly appreciate your detailed analysis right here. Nonetheless, I don't assume your comparing DECK to five highgrowth stocks is remarkably relevant. Many people can quickly pull out an additional 5 to counter your point. Since the balance sheet on the business is strong, we can give it time to strengthen. I usually do not understand why individuals are ヘレンカミンスキー 帽子 2013 shorting this stock when all the negatives happen to be reflected inside the ヘレンカミンスキー 帽子 秋冬 stock price tag, and 1 constructive improvement can send this thing http://www.mmfxi.info/ Fresh faces: GK , D , D , D , M Yherland McDonald, F . ヘレンカミンスキー ラフィア to above $40 effortlessly. Just look at what occurred to FOSL not too long ago.

Sep 28 02:28 PMThanks, Dustin. I bought ヘレンカミンスキー 帽子 アンティーク Fresh faces: GK , D , D , D , M Yherland McDonald, F . ヘレンカミンスキー 帽子 秋冬 Fresh faces: GK , D , D , D , M Yherland McDonald, F . ヘレンカミンスキー ラフィア 帽子 FOSL recently at $6572 and just sold all my shares yesterday. I do not know no matter if it could continue its price of expansion so I decided to take the 35% profit I got for significantly less than 1 month's investment in FOSL. I bought FOSL at $10 long time ago but sold them at $27, then bought ヘレンカミンスキー ニット帽 back at $18 and resold at $27. I missed all of the runup of FOSL to more than $100 that would have permitted me to retire 10 years earlier. I also owned a large amount of shares of AEO in late 1990s but sold them prematurely. 112 stores for $8 billion cap? priced for perfection. No space for any disappointment. You just require a little miss for the share price tag to crumble. Thanks for BRLI and BWLD. I will verify ヘレンカミンスキー ラフィア 帽子 them out and private message you my thoughts.

Aug 10 11:01 AMDustin, you have got accomplished a superb analysis. Do you locate any other comparable stocks? I have continually been in need of retailers that may conveniently ヘレンカミンスキー ラフィア 帽子 replicate itself nationwide with money generated from its personal operation, like this a single. I am greedy, though. So I am in need of a reduce entry point for this one particular. Also I'm in search of retailers that have got fewer stores. RUE has got over 700 shops and plans to improve to 1,500 which I feel might be a challenge. It's greater to invest within a comparable online business with 200 stores and hope it gets to 600.


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Astoria Music Now! 2012 - Astoria Music & Arts

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